Covid-19 has changed completely a new culture of doing research for scientists!
Now the Biggest question that arises is when will the Covid-19 pandemic end? What is causing a spike in the number of COVID-19 cases in the country?
The novel Corona virus has shaken the lives of people around the world. The Global Lock down is the single biggest experiment in Human History. Now India is battling second wave of Covid Pandemic.
The second wave could have been avoided but far too many people became complacent and social distancing norms are nowhere to seen, as if masks, sanitizers have become a thing of the past. The political parties too contributed to this. The parties didn’t pay any heed to the pandemic and organized huge crowded election rallies during a time when the entire world is fighting the deadly virus.
India started the vaccination drive on 16th January, and we are now at the beginning of April. Just as things were getting back to normal, the second wave of the virus struck and India has now breached 100,000 new cases per day, the second country in the world to do so.
A Failed Prediction:
A committee comprising of experts from IIT, ISI and IIS developed a “super model” based on the peculiarity of Indian COVId-19 conditions which predicted that the Covid-19 pandemic would come to an end in February 2021 in India largely due to herd immunity. The committee in its report submitted in Oct 2020 stated that the country’s actual Covid-19 caseload would have been around 50 crore or close to 40 per cent of India’s population. By February, the Covid-19 wave was to draw to an end.
However, the report did not prove to be true as the country now faces the second wave of COVID-19 and a spike in COVID-19 cases has been reported in various parts of the country.
Predictions for the Second wave
However, like with the first wave of the Covid-19 pandemic, the path of fresh infections would depend on a lot of other factors including measures rolled out by the government and adherence to safety protocols by the public.
A warning in the original prediction by the expert committee in their report may apply if the number of Covid-19 cases starts declining in the fourth week of April.
The warning was this: “The number will start rising again if proper practices of masking, disinfecting, tracing, and quarantine are not followed. The downward trend will continue only if we continue with the above practices.”
Conclusion: So, now just like Dengue and Malaria, Covid-19 is a new viral infection. Though the vaccine is available in India, there is still no permanent cure.
Now, to keep away from this virus, we have to take all the necessary precautions to protect ourselves by wearing mask, washing hands regularly, sanitizing our hands and maintaining Social Distance.
Stay Safe and Stay Healthy
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